Live betting on NBA matches

The options that bookmakers offer for live betting on NBA matches are many and very interesting. Bettors can wager on the winning margin, under or over for the total points scored by both teams and many more.

In the next few sentences we will focus in particular on the live betting on winning margin in the NBA matches. I don’t know if you have watched some matches from the league of the best in this game, but if you have, you might have noticed that almost every team have corresponding ups and downs during the match. Exactly on this phenomenon we can make a betting research which can bring us some success.

nba betting

What is it? We need to do a betting study on the performance of each individual team and its matches at home and away. Also we need to separate the matches when the team is placed in the role of a favourite, an underdog or as equal opponent. Then we can create a database of the largest winning difference that every team achieved or allowed during the match and hence to the final result.

When this happens, we can look for dependencies and track the live NBA games.

Let me give you an example. Take Chicago games from the last season. The team often had to use their reserve players in the third quarter so their big stars to rest because the season is very long and they have to be kept away from injuries. Because of this the team usually lost the third part of the match. So if in the first two parts of the match Chicago have accumulated a leading difference of 10-12 points, at the end of the third this advance usually melts away. If you look at the live betting odds for the winning margin after the second part, you would often see that even odds were proposed at a rate of -12 points for Chicago. The same bet at the end of the third part usually is -4 points for Chicago.

It is this dependence which can be used by players to bet against Chicago and the proposed margin for their win just before the crisis point in their game comes and the rates for the winning margin for them to fall.

Betting research about Euro matches and their impact

80 is the exact number of the teams which will participate in the groups of the European football tournaments and from their matches I will make my next betting research. I have decided to check how these teams present before and after the week in which they have matches in Europe.

To be honest, I wondered a lot how to make this betting research as much correct as possible and I decided that the most appropriate method is to bet against these teams on Asian handicap at evens. By this way I guarantee that even if some of the teams play with a very weak team I can get relatively good options for betting.

betting on champions league

Of course it is quite possible that I have chosen a method which is not very accurate because I waste my opportunities for surprises with huge odds, but if the first matches show something like that I will calibrate my methods.

So, how is my betting organized? In an excel file I pulled all 80 teams and the country they are from. On the Thursday before the next round of the local leagues, I check every team and record the Asian Handicap against them as well with the odds given to the bets.

However, there is also a special moment. Sometimes it happens that two of the teams that will play this week in Europe will play against each other. When this happens, I simply ignore this match and don’t record it.

When a round passes I note the following betting results. Wins and losses of teams that play in Europe. Wins and losses of teams participating in Europe that are hosts in their matches and vice versa – wins and losses of teams participating in Europe that play away in their matches.

Apart from that I can follow the presentation of the teams involved in the Champions League and those which will play in the Europa League.

My research will continue through all six rounds of the European competition, and it matters if the team is in the beginning of the season or they have played 8-10 matches already.

Norwich – West Ham betting prediction

The fourth round of the English Premier league begins with a derby match between the teams expected to finish in the second half of the table. Norwich hosts the match with West Ham United which will certainly be important when the time for deciding who will fight for survival in the Premier League comes. Both teams are candidates for relegation, although the guests from West Ham are currently in the seventh place in the standings.

Two wins at home against Aston Villa and Fulham put West Ham in the top half of the table. The team conceded a lost by 0-3 of Swansea as a guest. The hosts from Norwich have two draws in their account against QPR at home and away to Tottenham and a severe loss from Fulham with 0:5.

norwich-westham

Surely we can expect an equal match, but let’s see who prevails. If we look at the team of West Ham and mostly on their last match with Fulham we would see that Andy Carroll was the one who made the difference in the match. Even the fact he didn’t scored a goal, he participated in all the action in front of guests net and contributed to all three goals in the match. After his substitute because of injury, West Ham’s attack was much weakened and no more goals were scored.

The bad news for the manager of West Ham – Sam Allardyce is that Carroll will not be able to take part in this game. This will surely weaken the attack of the team, even more Allardyce likes to play with high balls to a powerful striker as Andy Carroll.

Norwich City’s new manager Chris Hughton is a highly experienced professional. As an assistant coach, he was next to some of the biggest names in the Premier League. He certainly knows what it takes for his team to improve their game. Currently Norwich created chances, but failed to implement them. In their first match at home, the team created 11 goals attempts to score, but succeeded just once in front of the QPR’s net. However, Norwich received a goal for the 1-1 draw by only five goal attempts from their opponents.

So, we have a match with two equal opponents, who are led by managers with great experience in the league. All this suggests to me that the basic idea of both teams will be not to lose the match and therefore a draw seems to me as the best possible bet for this match. The odds for a draw in this match are 3.3 and this will be my bet.